This is why you should stand with 12 when the dealer shows a 6 but always hit 16 when she shows.
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If the dealer is showing a Seven or anything higher, there is a significant chance he will make a good hand of 18, 19, 20,.The following tables show the probability of the dealer forming any given final hand given according to the dealer's up-card.The first is that there's such a profound drop between the 6 and the.However, the dealer plays after the players, which means that when you and the dealer both bust, you still lose.If you were to play exactly like the dealer (stand on 17 or higher, hit on 16 or less it stands to reason that there would be no house advantage.Hit Soft 17 1 juegos del casino tragamonedas x men 1 tragamonedas gratis con bonus 9 en 1 in 278,315,855 1 in 214,136,889 2 1 in 67,291,581 1 in 41,838,903 4 1 in 38,218,703 1 in 22,756,701 6 1 in 32,178,035 1 in 18,980,158 8 1 in 29,749,421 1 in 17,394,420, assuming six decks and the dealer stands.The probability of the dealer getting exactly a 9-card 21 under those rules is 1 in 32,178,035.The dealer is far more likely to get a better hand than yours unless you can improve.Average player bust-out rates are best online casinos us as follows: Hand, value, bust-Out Rate.Taking into account the payout bonus for getting a blackjack, it works out to roughly.5 percent house advantage.If your hand is 12 to 16, and the dealer has a Seven or higher showing, always hit.Just how often does the dealer bust when she has a 5 up anyway?The second thing to notice is that there's no up-card with which the dealer will bust as often as she'll make a completed hand.The old "bust card" fallacy is just another bogus piece of folklore that goes along with the "sacred order" of the cards, the "curse of the bad player and "figure the dealer for a 10 in the hole".
The obviously correct play is to double down.
For dealer probabilities after the dealer checks for blackjack please see my blackjack appendix.After all the smoke clears, the dealer will bust 28 of the time on all her hands combined.If your hand is 12 to 16, and the dealer is showing an up card likely to bust (see illustration above always stand.Woops you catch an Ace to finish your hand with.So you put another chip next to your original bet and take your one card for a double bet.Probability of Dealer 17-21/BJ by Number of Cards, cards Probability 2 1 in 3 3 1 in 4 4 1 in 12 5 1 in 67 6 1 in 622 7 1 in 8,835 8 1 in 193,508 9 1 in 6,782,912 10.
Before we get into the details of a basic strategy, it's important that we know the odds.